Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.062943 0.071170 0.079579 0.088787 0.098556 0.108584 0.119626
2025-08-24 0.047262 0.058957 0.071518 0.085872 0.101692 0.118478 0.137525
2025-08-31 0.036968 0.050486 0.065653 0.083609 0.103994 0.126164 0.151857
2025-09-07 0.031080 0.045978 0.063329 0.084460 0.109002 0.136183 0.168163
2025-09-14 0.026939 0.042916 0.062154 0.086160 0.114566 0.146485 0.184486
2025-09-21 0.024507 0.041612 0.062794 0.089741 0.122096 0.158854 0.203002
2025-09-28 0.021384 0.039030 0.061565 0.090831 0.126500 0.167475 0.217119
2025-10-05 0.021297 0.040455 0.065333 0.097990 0.138100 0.184434 0.240816
2025-10-12 0.018063 0.037171 0.062804 0.097148 0.139931 0.189862 0.251099
2025-10-19 0.016175 0.035605 0.062371 0.098811 0.144703 0.198677 0.265258
2025-10-26 0.014117 0.033551 0.061122 0.099306 0.147945 0.205602 0.277151
2025-11-02 0.012521 0.032032 0.060480 0.100487 0.151961 0.213400 0.290030
2025-11-09 0.010642 0.029945 0.059070 0.100794 0.155112 0.220463 0.302451
2025-11-16 0.008123 0.026379 0.055310 0.097815 0.154019 0.222343 0.308706
2025-11-23 0.006137 0.023369 0.052113 0.095405 0.153510 0.224829 0.315604
2025-11-30 0.005128 0.022067 0.051392 0.096324 0.157234 0.232474 0.328674
2025-12-07 0.004416 0.021250 0.051357 0.098152 0.162110 0.241527 0.343436
2025-12-14 0.004126 0.021340 0.052751 0.101999 0.169638 0.253883 0.362218
2025-12-21 0.003444 0.020345 0.052307 0.103169 0.173603 0.261780 0.375575
2025-12-28 0.003797 0.022028 0.056343 0.110842 0.186233 0.280553 0.402222
2026-01-04 0.002900 0.020259 0.054509 0.109940 0.187410 0.284945 0.411309
2026-01-11 0.002465 0.019622 0.054537 0.111720 0.192150 0.293803 0.425850
2026-01-18 0.001947 0.018558 0.053751 0.112250 0.195177 0.300480 0.437708